Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.725577 3.969875 4.233142 4.539974 4.890430 5.281558 5.755919
2025-03-30 3.377036 3.705609 4.080315 4.546231 5.120542 5.820648 6.765153
2025-04-06 3.073689 3.447647 3.893036 4.476548 5.244358 6.259543 7.784326
2025-04-13 2.792677 3.183743 3.665002 4.321889 5.234048 6.529216 8.685302
2025-04-20 2.655167 3.080770 3.623785 4.400594 5.551383 7.342100 10.792863
2025-04-27 2.540914 2.995082 3.593932 4.489575 5.904940 8.335841 13.943835
2025-05-04 2.471116 2.959941 3.626831 4.673122 6.452590 9.907490 20.321336
2025-05-11 2.375403 2.880427 3.587896 4.741448 6.829755 11.376166 30.171101
2025-05-18 2.272177 2.781576 3.510147 4.735640 7.074433 12.733322 47.214020
2025-05-25 2.135792 2.626173 3.334388 4.543433 6.911519 12.967468 61.178581
2025-06-01 2.039440 2.522179 3.228308 4.457833 6.952883 13.862993 107.878913
2025-06-08 1.963875 2.443531 3.154726 4.419790 7.090248 15.224354 451.654173
2025-06-15 1.898786 2.383708 3.117299 4.465057 7.492565 18.383310 NaN
2025-06-22 1.824941 2.306702 3.046912 4.442070 7.741609 21.626671 NaN
2025-06-29 1.745383 2.216676 2.948750 4.354059 7.806897 24.365297 NaN
2025-07-06 1.659467 2.112632 2.820448 4.191994 7.629988 25.392503 NaN
2025-07-13 1.619457 2.076979 2.803928 4.254672 8.135518 34.648699 NaN
2025-07-20 1.584154 2.046411 2.793375 4.329092 8.731907 53.263178 NaN
2025-07-27 1.564193 2.038603 2.821417 4.493102 9.759567 141.280213 NaN
2025-08-03 1.530342 2.006441 2.803328 4.550851 10.458027 1562.993955 NaN
2025-08-10 1.490212 1.961908 2.759292 4.541097 10.888214 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 1.431454 1.884394 2.649918 4.359875 10.444410 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 1.388763 1.831669 2.583671 4.278235 10.462009 NaN NaN